Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)

Referee: Jorgji E. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
Hungary	Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport Arena, Sky Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Young Boys		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.65
	5.1	4.15	1.68	Watch
	4.75	4.15	1.65
	5.06	4.2	1.69
	4.5	3.9	1.55
	4.95	4.2	1.64
	5.2	4.3	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↑ (4.76)	4.13 ↑ (4.13)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Young Boys
19.3%

Draw
23%

RB Leipzig
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

22.8%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

23.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.8%	4.2%	89%

Young Boys - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (105 of 118 users predict this - 88.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.33% – 94.63%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Racioppi A. (G) 17. Janko S. 4. Amenda A. 13. Camara M. (C) 23. Benito L. 20. Niasse C. 30. Lauper S. 21. Garcia U. 7. Ugrinic F. 15. Elia M. 9. Itten C.	21. Blaswich J. (G) 39. Henrichs B. 2. Simakan M. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. 20. Simons X. 44. Kampl K. (C) 24. Schlager X. 10. Forsberg E. 17. Openda L. 9. Poulsen Y.
Substitutes
27. Blum L. 14. Chaiwa M. 35. Ganvoula S. 10. Imeri K. 8. Lakomy L. 28. Lustenberger F. 39. Males D. 40. Marzino D. (G) 77. Monteiro J. 18. Nsame J. 19. Persson N. 26. von Ballmoos D. (G)	14. Baumgartner C. 18. Carvalho F. 1. Gulacsi P. (G) 31. Kohler T. 3. Lenz C. 13. Seiwald N. 30. Sesko B. 11. Werner T.
Coaches
Wicky R.	Rose M.

Preview

Young Boys in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

RB Leipzig is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

RB Leipzig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Young Boys have a series of guest games.

In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Knee Injury) Haidara A. (Calf Injury) Olmo D. (Knee Injury) Orban W. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Young Boys: Ugrinic F. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Raum D. (Knock)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Boys
Swiss Cup
15.09.23	Neuchâtel Xamax - Young Boys	0:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
03.09.23	Servette - Young Boys	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.08.23	Young Boys - Maccabi Haifa	3:0 ✺
23.08.23	Maccabi Haifa - Young Boys	0:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
18.08.23	Breitenrain Bern - Young Boys	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWTW
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
16.09.23	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Union Berlin - RB Leipzig	0:3 ✺
25.08.23	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	5:1 ✺
19.08.23	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	3:2 ✺
German Super Cup
12.08.23	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLW

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