Match Info

Date: 20 October 2021, Wednesday


	Young Boys		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.2	3.5	2.15
	3.6	3.7	2.08
	3.2	3.6	2.19
	3.43	3.55	2.23
	3.3	3.5	2.15
	3.42	3.62	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.32)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	2.15 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Young Boys
28.5%

Draw
26.8%

Villarreal
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

17.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Young Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.8%	14.5%	55.6%

Young Boys - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 124 users predict this event. Young Boys will win (votes: 37 - 29.8%). Villarreal will win (votes: 69 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 14.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 46.9% – 64.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Young Boys has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (10%), has a chance of 2nd (21%), has a chance of 3rd (28%), has a chance of round of 16 (31%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Villarreal has currently - 1, has a small chance of 1st (12%), has a chance of 2nd (23%), has a chance of 3rd (29%), has a chance of round of 16 (34%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Young Boys is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Villarreal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Young Boys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Villarreal will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
16.10.21	Young Boys - Luzern	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Servette - Young Boys	0:6 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.09.21	Atalanta - Young Boys	1:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
25.09.21	Young Boys - St. Gallen	2:1 ✺
22.09.21	Lausanne-Sport - Young Boys	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLWW
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
17.10.21	Villarreal - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
03.10.21	Villarreal - Betis	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.09.21	Manchester United - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.09.21	Real Madrid - Villarreal	0:0 ✺
22.09.21	Villarreal - Elche	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTW

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