Match Info

Date: 29 September 2021, Wednesday


	Manchester United		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.53	4.5	6.75
	1.53	4.5	5.6
	1.53	4.5	6.72
	1.5	4.2	7
	1.58	4.65	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	4.43 ↓ (4.57)	6.51 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
63.4%

Draw
21.8%

Villarreal
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.8%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.2%

17.5%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	12.1%	6.4%

Manchester United - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (256 of 314 users predict this - 81.53%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.24% – 85.82%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Man Utd has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (34%), has a chance of 2nd (25%), has a chance of 3rd (23%), has a good chance of round of 16 (59%), has a chance of qtrs (32%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Villarreal has currently - 1, has a chance of 1st (21%), has a chance of 2nd (24%), has a chance of 3rd (26%), has a chance of round of 16 (45%), has a chance of qtrs (17%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Man Utd is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
25.09.21	Manchester United - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
22.09.21	Manchester United - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
19.09.21	West Ham United - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.09.21	Young Boys - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.09.21	Manchester United - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLW
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
25.09.21	Real Madrid - Villarreal	0:0 ✺
22.09.21	Villarreal - Elche	4:1 ✺
19.09.21	Mallorca - Villarreal	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.09.21	Villarreal - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.21	Villarreal - Braga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
26.05.21	Villarreal - Manchester United	2:1 penalties

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