Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ibercaja Estadio (Zaragoza)

Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	Aragon TV, Canal Sur Andalucía, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Zaragoza		Almería

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.35
	3.14	3.37	2.4
	2.97	3.39	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.3
	3.03	3.33	2.37	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.84)	3.31 ↓ (3.36)	2.36 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
31.7%

Draw
28.4%

Almería
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Zaragoza - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Zaragoza (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Almería (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 20. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Insua P. 16. Radovanovic A. 27. Larios J. 14. Francho (C) 6. Bare K. 11. Gonzalez R. 19. Kodro K. 31. Pinilla H. 9. Gomez D.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 14. Baba I. 17. Lopy D. 12. Leo Baptistao (C) 11. Arribas S. 7. Morcillo J. 24. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
23. Cuenca M. A. 25. Cumic N. 36. Gomes A. 26. Mensah M. 17. Moyano F. 8. Moya T. 15. Pomares C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 33. Saidu Y. 2. Sebastian J. 7. Soberon M. 3. Tasende D.	20. Centelles A. 21. Chumi 29. Dzodic S. 23. Embarba A. 6. Horta A. 16. Luna M. 13. Martinez F. (G) 10. Melamed N. 2. Puigmal A. 5. Rodrigo Ely 19. Soko P. 9. Thalys
Coaches
Navarro D.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Chirino D. 🟨,
28', Munoz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Bare K. 🟨,
58', Munoz A. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
58', Leo Baptistao ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
58', Navarro D. 🟨,
66', Bare K. ↓, Mensah M. ↑,
67', Kodro K. ↓, Cuenca M. A. ↑,
70', Morcillo J. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
72', Insua P. 🟨,
73', Pinilla H. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
73', Larios J. 🟨,
75', Embarba A. 🟨,
78', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
78', Arribas S. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Gonzalez R. ⚽, Cuenca M. A. (A),
86', Puigmal A. 🟨,
88', Gonzalez R. ↓, Saidu Y. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Gomez D. ⚽, Tasende D. (A),
90+6', Gomez D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1.

Zaragoza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Almería is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Zaragoza: Bakis S. (Muscle Injury) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) El Yamiq J. (Muscle Injury) Guti R. (Injury) Moya T. (Injury) Pomares C. (Injury) Saidu Y. (Injury) Tachi (Knee Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Dzodic S. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Almeria: 14.77%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Almeria	8	6	0	2	13:5	8	18

Last Results with these Odds

Zaragoza - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.18%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.26	Cádiz - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	FC Andorra - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Leonesa - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Zaragoza - Eibar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLTT
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
09.03.26	Almería - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Almería	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Almería - Córdoba	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Almería - FC Andorra	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Cádiz - Almería	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.25	Almería - Zaragoza	4:2
15.03.25	Almería - Zaragoza	4:1
20.10.24	Zaragoza - Almería	1:2
04.03.22	Zaragoza - Almería	2:0
11.12.21	Almería - Zaragoza	3:0
11.04.21	Zaragoza - Almería	2:1
09.12.20	Almería - Zaragoza	1:0

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