The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ordabasy 45.9%
Draw 30.6%
Zhenis 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
34.3%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
34.9%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordabasy's performance.
Zhenis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhenis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ordabasy that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhenis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Ordabasy - Zhenis Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ordabasy will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Zhenis will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ordabasy: 64.6% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ordabasy will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shayzada B. (C) 5. Antic N. 20. Astanov E. 22. Astanov S. 27. Canadjija D. 16. Capatina M. 9. Everton 7. Imnadze L. 25. Maliy S. 8. Vakulko Y. 6. Zhaksybaev U.
1. Ignatovich S. (G) 11. Adil A. 19. Adilio 20. Batalha R. 8. Karaman D. 7. Kuat I. (C) 2. Nabikhanov A. 63. Saravanja I. 14. Saulet A. 4. Sovet S. 10. Tevzadze Z.
Substitutes
35. Abduhaliq A. 3. Alan Dias 47. Amir Z. 34. Celeadnic D. (G) 81. Dzhamalov B. 98. Joao Paulino 23. Khalmatov M. 30. Naumets V. 17. Sultaniyazov Z. 80. Temirbek A. 13. Tursynbay S. 10. Zhumabek A.
17. Adilov A. 23. Baltabekov A. 71. Berdibek D. 9. Lobjanidze E. 87. Martins G. 5. Mukanov S. 39. Sadovski U. 24. Zhomart D. (G) 6. Zhunussov A.
Coaches
Martin A.
Demchenko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Kuat I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Astanov S. 🟨,
57', Capatina M. ↓, Khalmatov M. ↑,
64', Karaman D. ↓, Martins G. ↑,
64', Adil A. ↓, Baltabekov A. ↑,
66', Everton ↓, Joao Paulino ↑,
66', Astanov E. ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
69', 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Zhaksybaev U. ⚽,
73', 2 - 0, Khalmatov M. (Pen),
87', Lobjanidze E. (Pen),
88', 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Adilio ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).
Recent performances by Ordabasy have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Zhenis is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Ordabasy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Ordabasy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.