Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Astana		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.15	6.5
	1.4	3.9	5.69
	1.6	3.87	4.93	Watch
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.52	4.01	6.16	Watch
	1.33	4.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.35)	3.99 ↓ (4.51)	6.38 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
62.9%

Draw
22.8%

Atyrau
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

20.3%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

19.6%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Astana's form might have worsened.

Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Astana - Atyrau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Condric J. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 6. Kasym A. 15. Beysebekov A. 11. Vorogovskiy Y. 9. Islamkhan B. 3. Kalaica B. 8. Basic I. 10. Tomasov M. 81. Karimov R. 47. Abrayev M.	1. Khatkevich E. (G) 55. Noyok O. 6. Yudenkov R. 5. Satanov S. 2. Tkachenko Y. 10. Dzhumatov R. 4. Rabiu M. 17. Kalmuratov K. 14. Dorofeev K. 7. Henrique 9. Abdulla A.
Substitutes
22. Abdurasulov A. 20. Ahanonu N. 4. Anuarov S. 72. Basmanov S. 57. Kaltanov A. 7. Karaman D. 99. Karpikov D. (G) 74. Seysen M. (G) 77. Shomko D. 91. Token A. 52. Tokenov T. 19. Zhaksylyk N.	27. Berdesh N. 99. Kereev B. 21. Orynbasar D. 77. Pangerey M. 12. Sagat N. (G) 11. Seytkaliev A. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 18. Trufanov Y. 90. Yusov D. 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Babayan G.	Cheburin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Kasym A. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Karimov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dzhumatov R. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
60', Islamkhan B. ↓, Karaman D. ↑,
67', Abdulla A. ↓, Seytkaliev A. ↑,
72', Trufanov Y. 🟨,
76', Tomasov M. ↓, Zhaksylyk N. ↑,
76', Abrayev M. ↓, Abdurasulov A. ↑,
84', Henrique ↓, Berdesh N. ↑,
85', Karimov R. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Kasym A. (Own goal),
90+2', Bartolec K. ↓, Anuarov S. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Astana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Astana is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Astana won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 50:11. (average 2.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:8. (average 3.4:0.8).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

FC Astana: 0.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FC Astana	25	14	6	5	42:25	17	48
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
18.04.26	Yelimay Semey - Astana	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Astana - Ordabasy	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Kairat - Astana	4:0 ✺
20.03.26	Astana - Tobol Kostanay	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Kaisar - Astana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLWT
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
19.04.26	Atyrau - Kyzylzhar	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Atyrau - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.04.26	Jas Qyran - Atyrau	0:4 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
04.04.26	Ordabasy - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Atyrau - Zhenis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
30.04.25	Atyrau - Astana	0:2
26.04.25	Astana - Atyrau	2:1
30.10.24	Astana - Atyrau	3:2
18.05.24	Atyrau - Astana	1:0
22.07.23	Astana - Atyrau	0:0
28.05.23	Atyrau - Astana	0:0
23.10.22	Astana - Atyrau	5:1

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