Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)

Referee: Higler D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Zwolle		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.62	3.55	2.58
	2.69	3.69	2.56
	2.62	3.67	2.48	Watch
	2.74	3.68	2.54	Watch
	2.45	3.7	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.63)	3.65 ↑ (3.61)	2.55 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
36.5%

Draw
26.1%

Sparta Rotterdam
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.2%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	21.1%	57.9%

Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 1 - 20%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Zwolle (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. de Graaff T. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 25. Oosting T. 30. Thomas R. (C) 35. Monteiro J. 7. Shoretire S. 10. Kostons K. 22. de Rooij K.	1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Sambo S. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Quintero T. 6. de Guzman J. 8. Kitolano J. 7. van Bergen M. 10. Duijvestijn L. 11. Oufkir A. 9. Lauritsen T.
Substitutes
29. Buitink T. 40. Dobben N. (G) 46. Drost C. 19. Faberski J. 45. Holtman J. 11. Mbayo D. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 42. Ruward D. 41. Verduin D. (G)	13. Baas J. 12. Bakari S. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 16. Clement P. 22. Kleijn M. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 17. Mito S. 21. Santos A. 19. Thorisson N. 18. Toornstra J. 15. van Aanholt P. 14. Velthuis T.
Coaches
Van Der Vegt H.	Steijn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Oufkir A. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, de Rooij K. ⚽, Monteiro J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', de Rooij K. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
58', de Guzman J. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
60', Oufkir A. ↓, Mito S. ↑,
62', Quintero T. 🟨,
66', Oosting T. 🟨,
80', Garcia MacNulty A. 🟨,
82', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
82', Martins Indi B. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
85', Quintero T. 🟥,
88', Kitolano J. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
90+4', Drommel J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 2.

Zwolle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sparta Rotterdam is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Zwolle has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sparta Rotterdam has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z. (Ankle Injury) Fichtinger N. (Red Card) Gooijer T. (Injury) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury) Voute D. (Inactive) van der Haar D. (Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.25	Heracles Almelo - Zwolle	8:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Helmond Sport - Zwolle	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	NAC Breda - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.25	Heerenveen - Zwolle	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTTL
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.25	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	5:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Telstar	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
15.03.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	1:1
30.11.24	Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0
04.02.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	0:2
12.08.23	Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
11.05.22	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	2:0
22.09.21	Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1

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