Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 17

Date: 12 December 2022, Monday

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)

Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)


	Zwolle		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	1.2	6	13
	1.21	6.25	10.5
	1.23	6.1	10
	1.2	6.2	10
	1.23	6.99	11.29
	1.18	5.8	12
	1.21	6.7	11.75	Watch
	1.21	6.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.42)	6.31 ↑ (4.48)	11.19 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
76.9%

Draw
14.8%

Helmond Sport
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.5%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

19.6%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zwolle's performance.

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Helmond Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zwolle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Helmond Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.6%	8.9%	15.6%

Zwolle - Helmond Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 34 - 75.6%). Helmond Sport will win (votes: 7 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 63.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zwolle is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Helmond Sport is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Helmond Sport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zwolle is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Zwolle: Meijer S. (Knee Injury) Thomas R. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwolle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Club Friendly
07.12.22	Bochum - Zwolle	1:3 ✺
03.12.22	Zwolle - Oostende	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.11.22	NAC Breda - Zwolle	0:2 ✺
11.11.22	Zwolle - FC Eindhoven	5:2 ✺
04.11.22	FC Oss - Zwolle	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWWW
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.11.22	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	0:2 ✺
12.11.22	Roda - Helmond Sport	0:1 ✺
04.11.22	MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport	4:0 ✺
28.10.22	Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag	2:1 ✺
24.10.22	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.21	Zwolle - Helmond Sport	3:0

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