Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 12

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Frans Heesen Stadion (Oss)

Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	FC Oss		Jong Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.9	3.6	Watch
	1.85	3.95	3.55
	1.88	4.09	3.78
	2.25	3.77	2.67	Watch
	1.91	3.88	3.42	Watch
	2.22	3.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.22)	3.91 ↑ (3.8)	3.29 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Oss
47.3%

Draw
24.1%

Jong Ajax
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

24.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

23.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Oss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Oss's performance.

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

FC Oss - Jong Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Oss will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oss: 77.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FC Oss will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Havekotte M. (C) 27. de Lannoy M. 2. Miguel L. 4. Lambrix X. 28. Mol L. 23. Vianello D. 26. Kuijpers J. 22. Erkan M. 11. Remans M. 17. Hinoke M. 9. Wildeboer T.	52. Reverson P. (C) 2. Appiah A. 15. Butera E. 89. Muzungu M. 16. van der Lans M. 22. Ouazane Z. 10. Peters T. 17. Chourak N. 7. O'Niel D. 19. Vink S. 11. Wolff K.
Substitutes
30. Bernardina J. 21. Cox T. 33. de Wit K. 99. Doucoure S. 8. Esajas M. 19. Marhoum Y. 12. Milder S. (G) 18. Pinto N. 16. Remie D. (G) 24. Turay F. 5. Van Bost J. 20. Van Hove B. 75. Zimmerman J.	18. Abildgaard L. 5. de Falco S. 21. Kalokoh D. 99. Kasanwirjo K. 26. Koka N. 20. Romers T. 12. Setford C. (G) 9. Skaarud D.
Coaches
Ultee S.	Weijs W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Ouazane Z. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Hinoke M. ⚽,
25', Vianello D. ↓, Esajas M. ↑,
35', Esajas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chourak N. ↓, Romers T. ↑,
61', Ouazane Z. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
65', Wildeboer T. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,
65', Erkan M. ↓, Zimmerman J. ↑,
69', Butera E. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Romers T. ⚽, O'Niel D. (A),
78', de Lannoy M. ↓, Cox T. ↑,
78', Remans M. ↓, Turay F. ↑,
79', Peters T. 🟨,
82', Mol L. 🟨,
84', Vink S. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
88', van der Lans M. ↓, Koka N. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oss won 3.

Oss has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jong Ajax's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Jong Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oss is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Konadu D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oss won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Oss won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.10.25	De Graafschap - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	FC Oss - Jong PSV	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	ADO Den Haag - FC Oss	5:1 ✺
26.09.25	FC Oss - Roda	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	FC Eindhoven - FC Oss	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTLLW
- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.10.25	Jong Ajax - Jong PSV	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Jong Ajax - De Graafschap	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Waalwijk - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo	2:4 ✺
19.09.25	Willem II - Jong Ajax	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.05.25	Jong Ajax - FC Oss	0:0
13.12.24	FC Oss - Jong Ajax	2:1
16.02.24	FC Oss - Jong Ajax	2:1
24.11.23	Jong Ajax - FC Oss	1:0
06.03.23	Jong Ajax - FC Oss	1:2
09.09.22	FC Oss - Jong Ajax	1:1
04.04.22	Jong Ajax - FC Oss	4:1

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