The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FC Oss 46.7%
Draw 24.1%
Jong Ajax 29.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
25.2%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
24.1%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Oss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Oss's performance.
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
FC Oss - Jong Ajax Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Jong Ajax (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Havekotte M. (C) 2. Pata I. 3. Miguel L. 23. Vianello D. 26. Kuijpers J. 10. van der Venne R. 8. Esajas M. 11. Mathieu J. 27. de Lannoy M. 19. Nsingi F. 17. Hinoke M.
1. Heerkens J. (G) 2. van de Pavert R. 3. Spina G. 4. van der Lans M. (C) 5. Amour J. 10. Monserrate J. 6. Peters T. 8. Acheampong L. 7. Salazar L. 9. Unuvar E. 11. Nash P.
Substitutes
5. Bynoe J. 21. Cox T. 99. Doucoure S. 12. Henry A. 6. Horemans M. 4. Jansen Q. 30. Jansen S. (G) 24. Kuiper J. 14. Mariani M. 28. Mol L. 25. Pansa J. 9. Visser A.
16. Appiah A. 17. Beekman L. 19. Camara A. 23. Da Silva P. 18. de Falco S. 30. El Hani A. (G) 21. Johnson J. 24. Moumane A. 12. Setford C. (G) 22. Simeon J. 25. van der Vaart D. 20. Verkuijl M.
Coaches
Ultee S.
Garcia C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Salazar L. ⚽, Nash P. (A),
42', 0 - 2, Unuvar E. ⚽, Monserrate J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Pata I. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,
46', Kuijpers J. ↓, Mariani M. ↑,
46', Nsingi F. ↓, Visser A. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Visser A. ⚽, Doucoure S. (A),
57', van der Lans M. ↓, Beekman L. ↑,
58', Visser A. 🟨,
63', Acheampong L. 🟨,
67', Esajas M. 🟨,
69', de Lannoy M. ↓, Horemans M. ↑,
69', Salazar L. ↓, Simeon J. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Mariani M. ⚽, Mathieu J. (A),
73', Acheampong L. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Visser A. ⚽, Mathieu J. (A),
80', van der Venne R. ↓, Bynoe J. ↑,
81', Mariani M. 🟨,
82', Unuvar E. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
82', Nash P. ↓, Moumane A. ↑,
82', Peters T. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 3, Camara A. ⚽,
90+2', Mathieu J. ↓, Mol L. ↑,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 14th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oss won 3.
In recent outings, Oss has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Jong Ajax has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Jong Ajax has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Oss is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Jong Ajax: Faberski J.
(Knee Injury)
Muzungu M.
(Yellow Cards).
Doubtful / questionable for Oss: Mariani M.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Oss has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:32 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Oss against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Oss
12
4
1
7
19:20
-1
13
15
Jong Ajax
12
3
3
6
18:29
-11
12
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Jong Ajax: 0.3%
Last Results with these Odds
FC Oss - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.64%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Havekotte M. (C) 
Pata I. 
Hinoke M. 
Spina G. 
Monserrate J. 
Doucoure S. 
Horemans M. 
Camara A. 
El Hani A. (G) 
Setford C. (G) 
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