Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.4	2.85	Watch
	1.38	3.25
	1.37	3.04	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.97	Watch
	1.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.65)	2.9 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
67.2%

Gael Monfils
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's performance.

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gael Monfils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gael Monfils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Monfils will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 58.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Davidovich Fokina (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 8 - 80%). Monfils (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 26. Monfils is ranked ATP: 43.

Recent performances by Davidovich Fokina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Monfils is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Davidovich Fokina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Davidovich Fokina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Davidovich Fokina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Nuno Borges - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW
- Gael Monfils
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Gael Monfils - Andrey Rublev	Rublev A. walkover ✺
23.04.25	Gael Monfils - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Gael Monfils - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Andrey Rublev - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Gael Monfils - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 ?W?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Estoril
03.05.19	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Gael Monfils	2:1

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