Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hamburg 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.3	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.37
	3.37	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.74	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.62)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
27.3%

Ignacio Buse
72.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.5%

73.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Buse will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buse: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 94. Buse is ranked ATP: 57.

Kovacevic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Buse is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Buse is a strong favorite.

We predict that Buse will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Hamburg
21.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWLW
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Hamburg
21.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Aleksandar Kovacevic	✺
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Ignacio Buse - Zizou Bergs	✺

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Ignacio Buse