Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.54	1.50
	2.7	1.47	Watch
	2.71	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.49
	2.64	1.51	Watch
	2.75	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.93)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
35.6%

Matteo Berrettini
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Matteo Berrettini (1.53) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 81., and Berrettini is ranked ATP: 46..

Kovacevic is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Berrettini have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Berrettini may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Berrettini for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Berrettini - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 68.14%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Tokyo
28.09.26	Jaume Munar - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Zachary Svajda - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Valentin Vacherot - Aleksandar Kovacevic	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
27.08.26	Arthur Fery - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLL
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Tokyo
03.10.26	Matteo Berrettini - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Matteo Berrettini - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWL

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide