Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WINSTON-SALEM (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.61	2.33
	1.61	2.31
	1.71	2.28
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
58.8%

Sebastian Baez
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.6%	0%	7.4%

Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: Aleksandar Vukic will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vukic is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Baez is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Vukic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vukic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Jason Kubler	Canceled ✺
ATP Toronto
10.08.23	Gael Monfils - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Sebastian Korda - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
08.08.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 W?LWW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
05.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
04.08.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
03.08.23	Alex Molcan - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
02.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW

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