Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Alex Michelsen		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.72
	1.45	2.61	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.33)	2.66 ↓ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
64.8%

Pol Martin Tiffon
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Michelsen's form might have worsened.

Pol Martin Tiffon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pol Martin Tiffon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pol Martin Tiffon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alex Michelsen - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Martin Tiffon will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Michelsen (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 37. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 312.

Michelsen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Martin Tiffon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Martin Tiffon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Michelsen is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 70.96%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Alex Michelsen - Federico Cina	Canceled ✺
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.26	Alex Michelsen - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LW?LL
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Andrea Vavassori - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWLW

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