Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.08	8	Watch
	1.09	7.25	Watch
	1.11	7.9
	1.08	8.75	Watch
	1.06	8	Watch
	1.09	8.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↑ (1.03)	7.99 ↓ (11.94)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
88%

Alexander Bublik
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.1%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bublik will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Alcaraz Garfia (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5.5 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - the odds 1.03 are the expected chance of winning is 92.06%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
14.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Alexander Bublik - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Alexander Bublik - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches