Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Rafael Jodar		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	2	1.89
	1.96	1.81	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.99	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.75)	1.84 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
48.3%

Tomas Machac
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rafael Jodar's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Rafael Jodar - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Machac will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rafael Jodar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 89. Machac is ranked ATP: 55.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
19.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLW?W
- Tomas Machac
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Emilio Nava - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.26	Tomas Machac - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Arthur Gea - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LW?L?

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