Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - Final

Date: 12 August 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Andrey Rublev		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.35	3.2
	1.34	3.3
	1.41	3.17
	1.42	3.06	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.35	3.37	Watch
	1.34	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)	3.26 ↑ (3.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
70.6%

Alexei Popyrin
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	0%	19.2%

Andrey Rublev - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 8. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 30.

Rublev is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Popyrin in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rublev is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rublev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Montreal
11.08.24	Andrey Rublev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
08.08.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
02.08.24	Andrey Rublev - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Montreal
11.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
08.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Alexei Popyrin - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP Vienna
24.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Andrey Rublev	0:2

Andrey Rublev - Alexei Popyrin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide