Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.49	2.79
	1.49	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	2.69 ↑ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
64.4%

Valentin Vacherot
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Lorenzo Musetti - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Vacherot (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Musetti will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Vacherot (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert Ugo, Musetti Lorenzo - withdrawn.

Musetti is ranked ATP: 5. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 23.

Vacherot is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Musetti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
27.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	Musetti L. retired ✺
25.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:0 ✺
23.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Tomas Machac	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 ?L?WW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Kamil Majchrzak	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Mariano Navone - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 W?LWW

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