Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Arthur Fils		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.13	6	Watch
	1.13	5.75
	1.13	5.6	Watch
	1.13	5.7	Watch
	1.12	6.35
	1.15	5.55	Watch
	1.13	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.24)	5.79 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
83.7%

Luca Van Assche
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Van Assche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arthur Fils - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 9., and Van Assche is ranked ATP: 43..

Fils has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Van Assche has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Van Assche could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Fils enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Fils has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Tokyo
28.09.26	Arthur Fils - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Arthur Fils - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fils	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
23.08.26	Arthur Fils - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Flavio Cobolli - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Denis Shapovalov - Luca Van Assche	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Cameron Norrie	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Next Gen Finals
01.12.23	Arthur Fils - Luca Van Assche	3:1
Boys Singles French Open
12.06.21	Luca Van Assche - Arthur Fils	2:0

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