Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Benjamin Bonzi		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.76	2.02	Watch
	1.9	2
	1.75	2.07	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.82	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)	2.06 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
53.6%

Arthur Rinderknech
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benjamin Bonzi's form might have worsened.

Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Rinderknech's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benjamin Bonzi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Rinderknech, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	3.7%	37%

Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonzi: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 7 - 70%). Rinderknech (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Bonzi (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Rinderknech (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 51. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 82.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Bonzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bonzi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 60.4%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Marcos Giron	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Daniil Medvedev - Benjamin Bonzi	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWLWW
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Rinderknech	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Rinderknech A. retired ✺
09.08.25	Casper Ruud - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
08.06.22	Arthur Rinderknech - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0
ATP Challenger
18.09.21	Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1
24.01.21	Arthur Rinderknech - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1

Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Rinderknech: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide