Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Cameron Norrie		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.3	Watch
	3.58	1.34
	3.35	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.39	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.53)	1.33 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
28.1%

Rafael Jodar
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cameron Norrie's form might have worsened.

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rafael Jodar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.9%	0%	73.1%

Cameron Norrie - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Jodar will win (votes: 18 - 72%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Jodar (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 24. Jodar is ranked ATP: 55.

Norrie has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jodar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jodar is a strong favorite.

We predict that Jodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Norrie won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Barcelona
15.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Alex Michelsen - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Barcelona
15.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Jaume Munar - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Alexandre Muller - Rafael Jodar	Muller A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Cameron Norrie	2:0

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