Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Final

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Marco Trungelliti		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.31	Watch
	3.47	1.35
	3.52	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.55	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.99)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
27.5%

Rafael Jodar
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Marco Trungelliti - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Jodar will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 50%). Jodar (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 117. Jodar is ranked ATP: 89.

Trungelliti has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jodar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jodar is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Marrakech
04.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWWWW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Marrakech
04.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Alexandre Muller - Rafael Jodar	Muller A. Retired ✺
02.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 W?WWL

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