Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Rafael Jodar		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.4	Watch
	1.22	4.84
	1.2	4.32	Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.21	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.29)	4.48 ↑ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
78.7%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rafael Jodar's performance.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camilo Ugo Carabelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Jodar (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rafael Jodar will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 55. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 64.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Jodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jodar is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jodar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Jaume Munar - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Alexandre Muller - Rafael Jodar	Muller A. Retired ✺
02.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWW?W
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
04.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0

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