Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - Final

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 5
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	1.11	6.5	Watch
	1.12	5.6
	1.13	6.51	Watch
	1.14	5.5
	1.13	6.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.14)	6.08 ↑ (5.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
84.4%

Arthur Fils
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 17 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Fils (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 4 - 80%). Fils (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Fils is ranked ATP: 40.

Alcaraz Garfia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fils is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fils may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Doha
20.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
01.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- Arthur Fils
ATP Doha
20.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Arthur Fils - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Arthur Fils - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
10.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
19.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Arthur Fils - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2
ATP London
20.06.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils	Canceled

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