Match Info

EXHIBITION - MEN: WORLD TENNIS CHAMPIONSHIP (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Zayed Sports City Stadium (Abu Dhabi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Casper Ruud		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	1.9	1.8
	1.9	1.9
	1.91	1.8
	1.99	1.89
	1.83	1.83
	1.99	1.82	Watch
	2.01	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.3)	1.84 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
48.7%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casper Ruud's performance.

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casper Ruud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Alcaraz Garfia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Casper Ruud - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ruud won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
Exhibition World Tennis Championship
17.12.22	Casper Ruud - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
20.11.22	Casper Ruud - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
19.11.22	Casper Ruud - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
17.11.22	Rafael Nadal - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
15.11.22	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Exhibition World Tennis Championship
17.12.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
04.11.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Alcaraz C. retired ✺
03.11.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
02.11.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
29.10.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 L?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
11.09.22	Casper Ruud - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
25.06.22	Casper Ruud - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:0
ATP Miami
03.04.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP Marbella
09.04.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	2:0

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