Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Champaign, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.83	2
	1.46	2.57	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.74	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.77)	2.05 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
54.3%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Cedrik Marcel Stebe - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stebe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Hara Friend will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Hara Friend (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cedrik-Marcel Stebe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Stebe (votes: 3 - 75%). Hara Friend (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stebe is ranked ATP: 395. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 479.

Now, both players are in good form.

Hara Friend may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Nicolas Mejia - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Mitchell Krueger - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Murphy Cassone - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Oliver Tarvet - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWW
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Alfredo Perez - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Edward Winter - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Garrett Johns - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW

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