Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Christian Garin		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.8	1.37
	2.74	1.5
	2.79	1.4	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.54)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
34.3%

Dalibor Svrcina
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Christian Garin - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Svrcina will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Svrcina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 90. Svrcina is ranked ATP: 109.

Garin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Svrcina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Svrcina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Svrcina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Santiago
26.02.26	Christian Garin - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.26	Christian Garin - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Christian Garin - Luciano Darderi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWL?L
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Dalibor Svrcina - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Vit Kopriva - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Mitchell Krueger - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL

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