Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.32	Watch
	3.45	1.36
	3.49	1.30	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.34	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.85)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
28.4%

Jiri Lehecka
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mackenzie McDonald - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Lehecka will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lehecka: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Lehecka (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - McDonald (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - McDonald (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 6 - 75%). Lehecka (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 96. Lehecka is ranked ATP: 27.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Lehecka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lehecka is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Ben Shelton - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.25	George Loffhagen - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Jiri Lehecka - Mattia Bellucci	0:3 ✺
30.06.25	Jiri Lehecka - Hugo Dellien	3:1 ✺
ATP London
22.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL

Mackenzie McDonald - Jiri Lehecka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide