Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday


	Mariano Navone		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.22	4.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.22	4.82
			Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)	4.37 ↑ (3.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
78.2%

Damir Dzumhur
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damir Dzumhur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damir Dzumhur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Mariano Navone - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 64. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 90.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Dzumhur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Navone is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Mariano Navone - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Mariano Navone - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Mariano Navone - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLW
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Corentin Moutet - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Dusan Lajovic - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLL

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