Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - Final

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	12:00	Max Sport 2
Croatia	11:00	SportKlub 2
Czech Republic	11:00	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	11:00	TV2 Play
Finland	12:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	11:00	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Tennis
Romania	12:00	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	11:00	SportKlub 2
Sweden	11:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	12:00	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	10:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Daniil Medvedev		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.22	4.25
	1.23	4.20	Watch
	1.21	4.69	Watch
	1.21	4.65
	1.25	4.06	Watch
	1.22	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.2)	4.29 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
77.8%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Daniil Medvedev - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 5., and Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 128..

Medvedev has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Basilashvili is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Basilashvili could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Medvedev for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Medvedev has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 78.51%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Almaty
24.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. Retired ✺
23.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
17.10.26	Rafael Jodar - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?WWLW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Almaty
24.10.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
23.10.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	Marin Cilic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
18.10.26	Adam Walton - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
26.10.22	Daniil Medvedev - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0

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