Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.19	4.2
	1.27	3.4
	1.36	3.35
	1.31	3.14	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.2)	3.51 ↓ (4.27)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
73.2%

Max Houkes
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Houkes (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 50%). Houkes (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 135. Houkes is ranked ATP: 251.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Houkes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Merida Aguilar is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Zachary Svajda - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLW
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Jesper De Jong - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Louis Wessels - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Alexander Donski - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Max Houkes - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.08.22	Max Houkes - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0

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