Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Daniil Medvedev		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.22	4.15	Watch
	1.28	4.06
	1.25	3.98	Watch
	1.22	4.2
	1.26	4.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.17)	4.09 ↓ (4.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
76.7%

Alejandro Tabilo
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tabilo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 40.

Medvedev is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tabilo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Dubai
28.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Tallon Griekspoor	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
27.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?WWWW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWL

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