Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Daniil Medvedev		Reilly Opelka

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.35	Watch
	1.31	3.81
	1.28	3.50	Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.31	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)	3.52 ↑ (3.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
73.1%

Reilly Opelka
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 14. Opelka is ranked ATP: 74.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 3.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Daniil Medvedev	3:1 ✺
ATP Halle
22.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Quentin Halys - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW
- Reilly Opelka
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Reilly Opelka - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Reilly Opelka	3:1 ✺
01.07.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Reilly Opelka	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.25	Jakub Mensik - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	George Loffhagen - Reilly Opelka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.25	Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka	0:2
ATP Toronto
15.08.21	Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
04.06.21	Reilly Opelka - Daniil Medvedev	0:3
ATP St Petersburg
15.10.20	Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka	1:2
ATP Miami
25.03.19	Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka	2:1
ATP Washington
31.07.17	Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka	2:1

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