Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Denis Shapovalov		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.51	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.64	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.51	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.33)	2.6 ↓ (3.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
63.3%

Bu Yunchaokete
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bu Yunchaokete's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Denis Shapovalov - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 38.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Shapovalov (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denis Shapovalov will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 23. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 120.

Yunchaokete may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shapovalov might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Denis Shapovalov - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Men World Tennis League
18.12.25	Daniil Medvedev - Denis Shapovalov	0:0 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
24.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. retired ✺
23.10.25	Valentin Royer - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTL?W
- Bu Yunchaokete
Exhibition Kooyong Men
14.01.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
04.01.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.10.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Uisung Park - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWW

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