Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Surbiton (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Anderson B. (Gbr)


	Denis Shapovalov		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.38	3.19
	1.39	3.19
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.4	2.84	Watch
	1.33	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.45)	3.12 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
69.8%

Aleksandar Vukic
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Shapovalov's performance.

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Vukic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Denis Shapovalov - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: Denis Shapovalov will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Vukic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shapovalov is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
30.05.24	Denis Shapovalov - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
27.05.24	Luca Van Assche - Denis Shapovalov	0:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
23.05.24	Denis Shapovalov - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
21.05.24	Federico Coria - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Aleksandar Vukic	3:1 ✺
ATP Lyon
21.05.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
19.05.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Alexander Zverev - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
15.06.21	Aleksandar Vukic - Denis Shapovalov	0:2

Denis Shapovalov - Aleksandar Vukic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide