Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Denis Shapovalov		Alexander Blockx

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.9	Watch
	2	1.89
	1.93	1.83	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.65)	1.87 ↓ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
48.9%

Alexander Blockx
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.

Alexander Blockx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Blockx's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Blockx, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Denis Shapovalov - Alexander Blockx Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Blockx will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blockx: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 38. Blockx is ranked ATP: 92.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Blockx may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Denis Shapovalov - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.69%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Blockx - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.31%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Denis Shapovalov - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Denis Shapovalov - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- Alexander Blockx
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Alexander Blockx - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Alexander Blockx - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Alexander Blockx - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.09.24	Alexander Blockx - Denis Shapovalov	2:1

Denis Shapovalov - Alexander Blockx: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide