Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Denis Shapovalov		Botic Van De Zandschulp

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.51	2.55	Watch
	1.56	2.59
	1.49	2.56	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.56	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.35)	2.57 ↓ (3.01)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
62.9%

Botic Van De Zandschulp
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.

Botic Van De Zandschulp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botic Van De Zandschulp's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Denis Shapovalov - Botic Van De Zandschulp Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 50%). Van De Zandschulp (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3 Games - Van De Zandschulp (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Van De Zandschulp (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Denis Shapovalov will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 25%). Van De Zandschulp (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 38. Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 65.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Shapovalov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shapovalov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Denis Shapovalov - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Tomas Machac - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWL?
- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Luka Pavlovic - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
27.08.24	Denis Shapovalov - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:3
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Denis Shapovalov	0:2

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