Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.09	Watch
	1.79	2.12
	1.74	2.05	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.77	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.76)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
54.1%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	0%	21.6%

Francisco Cerundolo - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francisco Cerundolo will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 20. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 49.

Recent performances by Cerundolo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tsitsipas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tsitsipas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Miami
26.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Ugo Humbert - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWL
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Arthur Fils - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
31.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1
ATP Basel
22.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1

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