Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.19	1.66	Watch
	2.37	1.66
	2.27	1.66	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.29	1.63	Watch
	2.19	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.15)	1.65 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
42.2%

Matteo Berrettini
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Berrettini will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 15. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 41.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tiafoe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Vienna
22.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
18.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
17.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
07.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Vienna
21.10.24	Marton Fucsovics - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.24	Matteo Berrettini - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Luciano Darderi - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Matteo Berrettini - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
03.10.24	Christopher OConnell - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
15.08.22	Matteo Berrettini - Francis Tiafoe	1:2
ATP Roma
14.05.18	Matteo Berrettini - Francis Tiafoe	2:0

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