Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Mattia Bellucci		Gianluca Cadenasso

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.66	2.34
	1.6	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.53)	2.2 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
57.6%

Gianluca Cadenasso
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Mattia Bellucci - Gianluca Cadenasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 78. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 232.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bellucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bellucci might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Jonas Forejtek - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Mattia Bellucci - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Stefano Travaglia - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWW
- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Gianluca Cadenasso	Canceled ✺
22.04.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Alex Barrena - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?LWL

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