Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.50	1.53	Watch
	2.60	1.48
	2.60	1.49	Watch
	2.69	1.53
	2.36	1.59	Watch
	2.60	1.50	Watch
	2.38	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.41)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 26.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
37.8%

Alexander Bublik
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	0%	52.9%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Bublik will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 93. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Mpetshi Perricard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bublik could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mpetshi Perricard won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.35%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Roman Safiullin - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Tommy Paul - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WW?LL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Alexander Bublik - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.26	Learner Tien - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Edas Butvilas - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
20.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Lyon
24.05.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Antwerp
20.10.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik	1:2

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