Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Hamad Medjedovic		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.51	Watch
	2.74	1.52
	2.45	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.58	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.14)	1.52 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamad Medjedovic
37.1%

Joao Fonseca
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

75.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamad Medjedovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamad Medjedovic's performance.

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Fonseca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamad Medjedovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Fonseca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Hamad Medjedovic - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Medjedovic will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Fonseca will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joao Fonseca will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 67. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 29.

Medjedovic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Fonseca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Medjedovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fonseca is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Alex De Minaur - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Marin Cilic	Fonseca J. Walkover ✺
ATP Munich
17.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 L?LWW

Hamad Medjedovic - Joao Fonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide