Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Joao Fonseca		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.23	4.2
	1.26	4.46
	1.23	4.18	Watch
	1.25	4
	1.26	4.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.28)	4.17 ↑ (3.62)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
77%

Marin Cilic
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Joao Fonseca - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Cilic will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cilic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 31. Cilic is ranked ATP: 51.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fonseca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fonseca is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Munich
17.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Matteo Berrettini - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Marin Cilic - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Marin Cilic - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Marin Cilic - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL

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