Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Diego Dedura-Palomero		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.15	1.35	Watch
	3.35	1.38
	3.3	1.31	Watch
			Watch
	3.22	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.52)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diego Dedura-Palomero
29.1%

Francis Tiafoe
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Dedura-Palomero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Diego Dedura Palomero - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dedura-Palomero will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Tiafoe (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 283. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 22.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tiafoe is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Emanuel Ivanisevic	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Roma
11.05.26	Francis Tiafoe - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Francis Tiafoe - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Terence Atmane - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
ATP Houston
04.04.26	Tommy Paul - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
03.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LW??W

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