Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Ignacio Buse		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.08	Watch
	1.81	2.1
	1.74	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.76	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.71)	2.09 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
54.4%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ignacio Buse - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buse: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 59. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 67.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Buse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2

Ignacio Buse - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide