Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Ignacio Buse		Moez Echargui

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.32	3.15	Watch
	1.41	2.98
	1.19	4.49	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.61	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.61)	3.15 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
69.7%

Moez Echargui
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moez Echargui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moez Echargui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ignacio Buse - Moez Echargui Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Buse (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Buse (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 23 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ignacio Buse will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 63. Echargui is ranked ATP: 138.

Buse has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Echargui has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Buse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Buse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.74%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Moez Echargui - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLW
- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Andres Andrade - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Alberto Puello - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.26	Moez Echargui - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Moez Echargui - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL

Ignacio Buse - Moez Echargui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide