Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Iva Jovic		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.12	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.13	1.73	Watch
	2.22	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.34)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iva Jovic
44.2%

Jasmine Paolini
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iva Jovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	0%	76%

Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Jovic will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Paolini will win (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 12.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jasmine Paolini will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jovic is ranked WTA: 27. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.

Jovic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iva Jovic
WTA Australian Open
21.01.26	Iva Jovic - Priscilla Hon	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Iva Jovic - Katie Volynets	2:0 ✺
WTA Hobart
16.01.26	Iva Jovic - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Taylah Preston - Iva Jovic	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Iva Jovic - Magda Linette	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Australian Open
21.01.26	Magdalena Frech - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
WTA United Cup
06.01.26	Jasmine Paolini - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Jasmine Paolini - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
WTA Finals
06.11.25	Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
27.08.25	Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.25	Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2

Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide