Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Montreal 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jacob Fearnley		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.40
	2.95	1.4	Watch
	3.15	1.42
	2.98	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.55)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
31.9%

Jakub Mensik
68.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.9%

73.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Jacob Fearnley - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 1 - 50%). Mensik (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 110. Mensik is ranked ATP: 17.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mensik is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Mensik - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 73.08%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Jacob Fearnley	Canceled ✺
26.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Michael Zheng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WW?LW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Washington
30.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Trevor Svajda - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Jakub Mensik - Grigor Dimitrov	1:3 ✺
30.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Toby Samuel	3:2 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
25.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Vienna
26.10.26	Arthur Fery - Jacob Fearnley	✺
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Vienna
26.10.26	Jakub Mensik - Lukas Neumayer	✺

Jacob Fearnley - Jakub Mensik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide