Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
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Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
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Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	HBO Max


	Jakub Mensik		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.93	1.48
	2.71	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.93	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.73)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
34.2%

Joao Fonseca
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.2%	0%	89.8%

Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 39.5 Games - over (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Mensik (2.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Joao Fonseca will win (52 of 58 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.82% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joao Fonseca will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Fonseca (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 27. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 30.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Mensik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fonseca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Fonseca will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mensik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Joao Fonseca - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 64.69%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.26	Jakub Mensik - Andrey Rublev	3:2 ✺
29.05.26	Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
27.05.26	Mariano Navone - Jakub Mensik	2:3 ✺
24.05.26	Titouan Droguet - Jakub Mensik	0:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.26	Casper Ruud - Joao Fonseca	1:3 ✺
29.05.26	Joao Fonseca - Novak Djokovic	3:2 ✺
27.05.26	Joao Fonseca - Dino Prizmic	3:2 ✺
24.05.26	Joao Fonseca - Luka Pavlovic	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
18.05.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Joao Fonseca	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
22.10.25	Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca	Fonseca J. walkover
ATP Next Gen Finals
20.12.24	Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca	2:3

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