Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Jakub Mensik		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.9	1.26
	4.13	1.27
	3.95	1.27	Watch
	3.6	1.29
	3.87	1.27	Watch
	3.8	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.54)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
24.6%

Novak Djokovic
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Jakub Mensik - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Novak Djokovic will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Novak Djokovic will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 17. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 4.

Mensik has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mensik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Djokovic is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mensik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Australian Open
24.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Ethan Quinn	3:0 ✺
21.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Rafael Jodar	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
16.01.26	Sebastian Baez - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Australian Open
24.01.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
19.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
11.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic	N/A
11.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	N/A
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWW??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
30.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Novak Djokovic	2:0
ATP Shanghai
11.10.24	Jakub Mensik - Novak Djokovic	1:2

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